Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 52

Severe Weather near Avon Lake

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 39 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 9 May 2026 at 22:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 14 recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 May 2026 — 8 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 9 at 5:34PM EDT until May 9 at 6:15PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH

An estimated 1,257,964 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 9 May 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Our confidence79%
Coordinates41.7245, -82.0227
Nearest CityAvon Lake (24 km)
Population Exposed1.3M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-09T21:34:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.32d70901ff5798092b9202e9a74cf1e5

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescReno Beach to The Islands OH; Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; The Islands to Vermilion OH; Vermilion to Avon Point OH; Avon Point to Willowick OH; Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH; Conneaut OH to Ripley NY; The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 9 at 5:34PM EDT until May 9 at 6:15PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH
Expires2026-05-09T18:15:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Cleveland OH
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.32d70901ff5798092b9202e9a74cf1e5087afac2.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.32f58353f92a765f64204fb3a6df58cf17b092d7.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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